Monday, December 7, 2009

GOLD FALLS AS EURO, STOCKS, OIL FALL



FOR NOW GOLD HAS RALLIED A BIT OFF THIS LOW
BUT COULD GO LOWER
DOLLAR IS UP



GOLD MOVES DOWN TO THE 75% POINT AND MOVES BACK UP



YELLOW UPTREND LINE REDRAWN TO INCLUDE
THE NEW LOW

GOLD RISES AS IT NEARS THE YELLOW UPTREND LINE


THIS IS THE TIME PERIOD, THROUGH MIDNIGHT PST, WHEN GOLD MAKES SOME GOOD MOVES


GOLD CONTINUES TO MOVE UP AND OUT OF THE RED DOWN FLAGS ON LIGHT VOLUME




GOLD SHOULD MOVE UP OUT OF THE RED DOWN FLAG, BUT EURO, STOCKS JUST TURNED DOWN SLIGHTLY, OIL STILL UP


THIS MARKET IS TRADING LIKE A LOT OF 'SCALPER'
TRADERS HAVE MOVED INTO THE NIGHT MARKET
TO GRAB SMALL PROFITS ON THESE MULTI DOLLAR
MOVES IN GOLD THAT GENERATE GOOD PROFITS IF
YOU HAVE ENOUGH CONTRACTS TRADING

STOCKS, OIL RISING, EURO STILL DOWN A BIT, YEN DOWN


IT'S GETTING NEAR THE HOUR WHEN THE FOREIGN
MARKETS BECOME ACTIVE IN THE NEXT 45 MINUTES
UNTIL 11PM PST

GOLD IS NOW TRADING LIKE TRADERS HAVE FINALLY FIGURED OUT THAT GOLD IS A GOOD BUY IN HERE AFTER THE HUGE FRIDAY SELL OFF AND KNOW IT'S GOING BACK UP


A NORMAL PULLBACK AFTER A GOOD UP MOVE, NOW BACK UP?



STOCKS, EURO TURN UP

GOLD MOVED BACK UP MORE THAN 75% OF THE DOWN MOVE, NOW A PULL BACK, THEN HIGHER



STOCKS, OIL, EURO ALL TURN BACK UP
BONDS, YEN TURN DOWN
ALL GOOD FOR HIGHER GOLD

GOLD CLIMBING BACK UP STEADILY ON LIGHT VOLUME


GOLD MOVES UP FASTER AS UP VOLUME INCREASES




A RETEST OF THIS LOW WOULD NOT SURPRISE ME.
THEN GOLD SHOULD MOVE BACK UP
YELLOW UPTREND LINE WILL BE REDRAWN TO TAKE
IN THIS NEW LOW

5 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


DOLLAR MOVES LOWER AS IT WILL CONTINUE TO
DO NO MATTER HOW MUCH INTERVENTION IS
THROWN AT IT IN A DAY. IT IS SIMPLY DEAD

AS IT DOES SO OFTEN, GOLD TAKES BACK MOST OF THE EARLIER UPMOVE, BUT BUYERS ARE MOVING IN HERE JUST BELOW THE 75% RETRACE POINT


DOWN VOLUME WAS NOT TOO BAD, AND GOLD IS
MOVING BACK UP ON LIGHT VOLUME FOR NOW BUT
MAY PICK UP AS THIS IS A GOOD PULL BACK TO BUY IN

THE WHITE DOWNTREND CHANNEL RESOLVES UP


GOLD PULLS BACK TO THE PREVIOUS LOW AS
STOCKS, EURO, OIL ALL PULL BACK A BIT

GOLD PULLS BACK EXACTLY TO THE 75% RETRACE POINT FOR THIS LAST UP MOVE


8:55PM PST


WILL THIS RED DOWN FLAG RESOLVE HIGHER?


GOLD RISING IN A 2ND LEG UP


EURO MOVING BACK UP, GOLD FOLLOWING


GOLD DOWN 50% OF THE EARLIER RUN UP


GOLD BREAKS BELOW THE RED DOWN FLAG


EURO. STOCKS MOVING LOWER DRAGGING GOLD LOWER


IF GOLD BREAKS BELOW THE RED DOWN FLAG
IT WILL MOVE DOWN A GOOD DEAL, THEN RALLY WELL,
A GOOD BUY IN OPPORTUNITY

GOLD IS 'COILING' AND BUILDING ENERGY WITHIN THIS RED DOWNFLAG/TRADING RANGE TO BREAK OUT HIGHER SOON


5:340PM PST


GOLD STILL SHOWING STRENGTH, A LITTLE MORE PULL BACK HERE THEN HIGHER?


GOLD COULD PULL BACK MORE OR MOVE HIGHER FROM HERE


GOLD CONSOLIDATING IN A RED DOWN FLAG, COULD BREAK HIGHER OR PULL BACK MORE BEFORE THE NEXT RALLY HIGHER


GOLD COULD BE HESITANT TO MOVE HIGER RIGHT AWAY
AFTER SUCH A QUICK RUN UP. ON THE OTHER HAND
MANY BUYERS MAY BE EAGER TO JUMP IN AT THE HIGHS
BEFORE GOLD MOVES MUCH HIGHER WITHOUT THEM.
NO WAY TO KNOW WHICH WILL HAPPEN UNTIL THE
VERY LAST SECOND AS I WATCH VOLUMES AND PRICE
ACTIONS, AND I CAN'T COMMUNICATE THAT TO YOU ALL
FAST ENOUGH, LET ALONE TRADE MY OWN POSITION,
WHICH HAS TO COME FIRST

GOLD RISING QUICKLY IN EARLY EVENING


GOLD RISES $13 VERY QUICKLY, MAY KEEP GOING
IN STEPS OVERNIGHT

GOLD FALL FURTHER


GOLD ONLY PULLS BACK TO THE PREVIOUS LOW, BUT MAY MOVE LOWER BEFORE ANY SUBSTANTIAL RALLY HIGHER




GOLD CONTINUES TO PULL BACK MAKING LOWER LOWS




GOLD BREAKS OUT OF THE RED DOWN FLAG, RETRACE UP 75%, THEN DROPS QUICKLY


GOLD RISES INTO THE CRIMEX CLOSE AFTER EXCEEDING A PREVIOUS HIGH BY A BIT



THE 75% RETRACE POINT BACK UP FOR THE MOVE DOWN FROM 1212 IS AT 1193.
THERE ARE OTHER POINTS BETWEEN HERE AND THERE BASED UPON
LOWER HIGHS, BUT GOLD WILL MOVE UP ABOUT $30 FROM HERE SOON.

GOLD IS UP AGAINST THE PREVIOUS HIGH WHICH IS RESISTANCE







GOLD BREAKS OUT ON GOOD VOLUME, THERE COULD BE SOME HARD PULL BACKS ALONG THE WAY, SO TAKE IT WHILE YOU HAVE IT


THIS LAST UP MOVE IS A GOOD SIGN THAT GOLD CAN CONTINUE TO MAKE HIGHER HIGHS AND SHOWS STRENGTH MAY BE COMING BACK INTO THIS MARKET


BUT FIRST, THE STANDARD PULL BACK OR
CONSOLIDATION BEFORE A FURTHER RALLY

BUT OF COURSE, THEN GOLD KEEPS MOVING HIGHER AND MAKES WHAT I JUST SAID SEEM STUPID, EXCEPT...THAT THIS MOVE IS THE EXCEPTION AND NOT 'THE RULE'


YOU ALSO HAVE TO BE WATCHING THE OTHER MARKETS
TO SEE WHICH WAY THINGS ARE MOVING TO BE
ABLE TO MAKE THE SPLIT SECOND DECISION ABOUT
WHETHER TO HANG ON OR SELL OUT. I WOULD RATHER
BE OUT WITH A PROFIT THAN HANG ON AND GO UPSIDE
DOWN AND HAVE TO WAIT FOR IT TO FLOAT BACK UP

THIS IS WHERE YOU WOULD SELL THIS UP MOVE AS IT HITS THE 75% RETRACE POINT AND STALLS


SURE GOLD MOVES A LITTLE HIGHER, AND MAY EVEN
MOVE MUCH HIGHER, BUT HOW OFTEN HAVE YOU
SEEN IT STALL AND MOVE DOWN HARD AND YOU LOSE
THE PROFIT YOU JUST MADE? NEVER GRIEVE OVER
MONEY YOU NEVER HAD...JUST OVER THE MONEY YOU
GAVE AWAY WHILE YOUR GREED MADE YOU HOLD OUT
FOR MORE RATHER THAN BE HAPPY WITH WHAT YOU
ALREADY HAVE. INSTEAD, DON'T GRIEVE AT ALL, JUST
LOOK FOR THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY THAT, IN THIS CASE,
WILL BE JUST MINUTES AWAY. MANY OF THESE EASY
PROFITS WILL ADD UP FAST, EVEN WITH MORE COMMISSIONS
BEING PAID FOR MORE IN AND OUT TRADES. OR...
AS SINCLAIR ADVISES, JUST BUY THE LOW AND GO BACK
TO BED...EXCEPT WHEN GOLD GETS HIT LIKE LAST FRIDAY
AND GOES BELOW WHERE EVERYBODY BOUGHT IN IN RECENT
WEEKS. THEN YOU FEEL LIKE A FOOL FOR NOT HAVING SOLD
OUT AT THE TOP WHEN YOU KNEW THINGS JUST DON'T GO
STRAIGHT UP FOREVER...ESPECIALLY WITH THE CROOKS
RUNNING THE SHOW

GOLD VIOLATES THE BLUE UPTREND CHANNEL BOTTOM LINE (no big deal, it's very short term trend channel) AND FALLS NEAR THE 75% RETRACE POINT


NEW BLUE UPTREND CHANNEL LINES DRAWN ABOVE