Friday, September 11, 2009

2:15 PM PDST AFTERNOON GOLD CLOSE




GOLD RETRACES UP 68% WITHIN THE RED UP FLAG THEN BACK DOWN JUST BARELY BREAKING UP AND OUT OF THE WHITE DOWNTREND CHANNEL


The red up flag resolves down, maybe now.

15 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


THE WHITE DOWN FLAG SHOULD RESOLVE UP, PROBABLY SUNDAY EVENING IF NOT THIS AFTERNOON


GOLD MOVES UP AFTER THE CRIMEX CLOSE


GOLD MAY SELL OFF INTO THE CRIMEX CLOSE THEN RALLY IN AFTERNOON TRADING




GOLD DOES RESOLVE DOWN


GOLD FORMS A LITTLE UP FLAG THAT WILL RESOLVE DOWN


Gold should move lower to the 75% point at 1004.10 which
coincides with the turquoise blue uptrend line where support
should exist.
For now, the other markets are not supportive of higher gold
but may change when gold moves down to the point discussed
above

15 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


GOLD MOVES LOWER AS OIL, STOCKS, EURO MOVE LOWER, BONDS, YEN HIGHER


DOLLAR MOVES LOWER

ANOTHER TOPPING PATTERN


THE RED DOWN FLAG RESOLVES UP


GOLD MOVES CLOSER TO THE 75% POINT


Then moves above it slightly before pulling back



15 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


GOLD RETRACES LESS THAN 75%


The Euro plunged, but has moved back up strongly

DON'T CHASE GOLD HERE, LET IT PULL BACK


THE LARGER PICTURE


Gold is in the overbought upper area of the YELLOW
Intermediate Uptrend Channel
The upper bounds are near $1024 which is one of Sinclair's
numbers and where gold should pull back before moving to
the next higher number at 1089

GOLD FALLS FASTER TO THE 2ND 75% RETRACE POINT




This is classical behavior of making a slightly higher high

then collapsing on profit taking. How far gold pulls back

is to be seen, but it's moving down faster

15 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


GOLD MAKE ANOTHER NEW HIGH JUST UNDER THE YELLOW UPTREND CHANNEL TOP LINE AND PULLS BACK


This may be the high for the day as the shorts will nw
be doing whatever they can to pound gold back down, or
at least, keep it contained here

RHINO HORN ALERT!


GOLD SELLS THESE DOWN FAIRLY DRAMATICALLY
SO FAR, GOLD IS FINDING SUPPORT ON THE BLACK
DOWNTREND LINE, BUT WILL PROBABLY MOVE
LOWER ON PROFIT TAKING

GOLD MAKING NEW HIGHS AT 1013.20 AND NEARING THE YELLOW TOP UPTREND CHANNEL LINE


GOLD NOW PULLING BACK FROM THE NEW HIGHS
GOLD MAY FIND SUPPORT ON THE BLACK MAJOR
DOWNTREND CHANNEL LINE JUST EXCEEDED

GOLD MOVES HIGHER BUT IMMEDIATELY PULLS BACK, NOT RETESTING THE HIGHS

VOLUMES ARE BUILDING
GOLD IS NOT THAT FAR FROM
THE TOP PRICE AT 1009.60 WHICH
SHOULD BE RESISTANCE

DOUBLE TOP AS GOLD TESTS THE HIGHS, VOLUMES ARE NOT INDICATING A MASSIVE BUY IN COMING, GOLD MAY PULL BACK FROM HERE


Oil, Stocks rising
Gold could consolidate here for a further move up, but
I suspect a pull back before it moves higher
Dollar not collapsing basis my delayed prices
Euro not rising dramatically

GOLD PULLS BACK THEN MOVES BACK UP STRONGLY BUT STALLS AT THE TOP




VERY HINKY TRADING, NOT WORTH BUYING AT THIS LEVEL, WAIT FOR A PULL BACK


BUT NO, GOLD REVERSES AND RALLIES, THEN STALLS NEAR THE HIGHS


DON'T TRUST THIS MARKET AND DO NOT CHASE IT.
THERE WILL BE A PULL BACK TO BUY IN ON
NEVER BUY STRENGTH IN GOLD
ONLY BUY WEAKNESS

SO FAR NOTHING VERY EXCITING, BUT WAIT FOR THE LAGGING RESPONSE


STARTING TO LOOK LIKE GOLD MIGHT GET BEAT DOWN

FALSE RALLY BEFORE THE REPORT...WAIT FOR THE REPORT IN 2 MINUTES


IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT THE REPORT SAYS,
JUST WATCH WHAT THE MARKET DOES AFTER IT



GOLD MOVES DOWN SLOWLY ON CRIMEX OPEN, UNEMPLOYMENT REPORT SHOULD MOVE MARKET IN FIVE MINUTES


STOCKS, OIL, EURO STILL MOVING LOWER

GOLD MOVES DOWN SOME ON MODERATE VOLUME


GOLD MAY FIND SUPPORT ON THE YELLOW UPTREND LINE



UNEMPLOYMENT REPORT ON THE HALF HOUR SHOULD MOVE THE MARKET

STOCKS, OIL, EURO all moving lower before
the Crimex open

GOLD READY TO SPIKE HIGHER BUT SHOULD GET KNOCKED DOWN ON THE CRIMEX OPEN FIRST


BE VERY CAREFUL HERE!
OVER 200 SELL ORDERS WAITING NEAR THE HIGHS
If they get triggered, gold will go up (Sellers need buyers
to fill their orders making gold rise)
If gold does spike first, it will be sold off quickly and the
reverse if it sells off fast.
DON'T ASSUME ANYTHING UNTIL YOU SEE IT HAPPEN
DON'T GAMBLE ON THE OPENING DIRECTION

15 MINUTE DECEMBER DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


THE PULL BACK


GOLD RETESTS THE HIGHS BEFORE THE CRIMEX OPEN IN ONE HOUR


GOLD MAY HAVE FOUND SUPPORT ON THE WHITHE TOP DOWNTREND CHANNEL LINE JUST EXCEEDED AND MAY NOW MOVE HIGHER


GOLD WILL MOVE LOWER BEFORE ANY DECENT RALLY CLOSER TO THE CRIMEX OPEN


GOLD RETRACES BACK UP 75%, NOW BACK DOWN