Monday, July 20, 2009

AND OF COURSE, IT ALL GETS TAKEN BACK

VERY STRANGE RALLY ON LIGHT VOLUME OF ABOUT 400 CONTRACTS IN 4 MINUTES


The one minute chart of the 5 minute up move on low volume


Prior to this move up, there were over 100 orders BELOW
the price where this move began that did NOT get triggered.
There were NO large bids showing.




Could be some entity is trying to get less experienced traders


to jump on board impetuously so they can then drop the price


on them. We shall see in a moment.

POSSIBLE RETRACEMENT POINTS IF GOLD GOES DOWN


GOLD CONTINUES TO MOVE IN BIZARRE SHORT TERM MOVEMENTS...VERY DANGEROUS TO TRADE THIS CLOSE TO FIRST NOTICE FOR AUGUST GOLD ON THE 31st


DOLLAR MOVES UP THIS EVENING (5 MINUTE CHART)


VERY WEIRD MOVEMENTS IN GOLD WITH DOLLAR DOWN AND EURO UP


This is an example of the next two fib retrace points IF
gold should continue lower rather than reverse upwards
75% of the down leg just made as shown in the bottom chart


The fibonacci retracement points don't tell WHICH direction
gold will move in. They ONLY tell you that IF gold moves in
a direction, where the commodity IS LIKELY to retrace
given different PERCENTAGES of likelyhood. I place the
fib lines in the OPPOSITE direction when gold has reached
the 75% retrace point in one direction, BECAUSE it is LIKELY
that it will reverse (retrace) 75% of the move just made.
Gold COULD continue in the present direction to another level
fib retrace point. If it does, I find the higher level (intermediate level)
of high/low points to use for the next higher level fib points








DAILY CHART OF THE US 30 YEAR T BOND


DAILY CHART OF THE EURO



BONDS UP, DOW, OIL, EURO DOWN, DOLLAR SLIPPING LOWER














GOLD USUALLY PULLS BACK TO THE LOW, OR LOWER, BEFORE THE MAIN RALLY AFTER A BIG SELL OFF



GOLD MOVES LOWER AS THE DOLLAR RISES


GOLD MAY GO LOWER


DOLLAR FINDS SUPPORT (or intervention) AT THE LOW OF THE DAY


GOLD COULD FALL HARD HERE




Dollar has bounced off the day's low three times, probably

due to PPT goosing

GOLD COULD PLUNGE HERE, OR JUST RALLY FROM THE 75% POINT SHOWN


DOW STARTING TO FALL FAST, OIL MOVES LOWER

GOLD BATTLE BEGINS AS MOVEMENT AND VOLUMES BECOME ERRATIC




GOLD REMAINS IN THE TRADING RANGE


DOLLAR IS SLIPPING LOWER, EURO SIDEWAYS TO SLIGHTLY UP

GOLD MOVES UP ON LIGHT VOLUME TO THE RED DOWNTREND LINE


GOLD CONTINUES TO TRADE UP AND DOWN 75%


5 MINUTE DOLLAR CHART


GOLD ACTING LIKE IT IS GOING TO DROP, MAY DROP HARD


GOLD RALLIES ON LIGHT/MODERATE VOLUME AS DOLLAR MOVES A BIT HIGHER


Bernanke speaks today, so gold has to be kept down. It
may go into a trading range here