Tuesday, January 26, 2010

THE LARGER PICTURE


GOLD HAS BEEN TRADING SIDEWAYS IN A RANGE
SINCE LAST THURSDAY

GOLD MAY SELL OFF AFTER THE CRIMEX CLOSE


A LITTLE LAST MINUTE RALLY THAT FAILS


GOLD MAY SELL OFF SOON AS WE APPROACH THE CRIIMEX CLOSE


THIS HAS BEEN A FAIRLY LIGHT VOLUME DAY DESPITE
THE NICE RUN UP. PROFIT TAKING WILL TAKE GOLD
DOWN

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


DOLLAR OFF ITS HIGHS

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


EURO RISES, GOLD FOLLOWED

GOLD INCHES HIGHER, MAY SELL OFF HARD AT ANY TIME ON PROFIT TAKING




GOLD MAY BEGIN ITS PULL BACK AND TAKE IT ALL BACK BEFORE THE CRIMEX CLOSE


IF YOU HAVE PROFITS IN FEB GOLD, YOU SHOULD
TAKE THEM NOW WHILE YOU HAVE THEM THEN
MOVE TO APRIL GOLD.....NOW

OPEN INTEREST FOR FEB 2010 GOLD = 146K, OI FOR APRIL 2010 GOLD= 196K

APRIL GOLD ALREADY HAS MORE OPEN INTEREST THAN FEB GOLD
WHICH MEANS THE LIQUIDITY IS MOVING TO APRIL MORE
EVERY MINUTE

APRIL 2010 GOLD IS THE CONTRACT I WILL BE POSTING CHARTS FOR FROM THIS POINT ON











GOLD PULLS BACK, THEN MOVES UP ONE TICK HIGHER AND NEARER THE 75% RETRACE POINT AT 1099.30


GOLD COULD GO HIGHER, BUT I'M NOT BETTING ON
IT.
I'M OUT OF MY FEB2010GOLD CONTRACTS AND WILL
BE QUOTING APRIL 2010 GOLD FROM HERE ON AS
FRIDAY THE 29TH YOU HAVE TO BE OUT OF YOUR
FEB CONTRACTS ON FIRST NOTICE DAY. THE FEB
CONTRACT WILL STILL HAVE THE MOST LIQUIDITY
UNTIL THEN, BUT WILL CHANGE NEXT MONDAY TO
THE APRIL CONTRACT

GOLD MOVES UP TO THE 1ST 75% RETRACE POINT AS STOCKS, EURO, OIL TURN UP




5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


EURO STILL DOWN

EURO, STOCKS, OIL ALL PULLING BACK AFTER THEIR RALLIES, GOLD TOO



GOLD WILL TURN BACK UP FROM ONE OF THE 75%
RETRACE POINTS, WE JUST DON'T KNOW WHICH ONE YET

GOLD MOVES HIGHER ON STRONG VOLUME, NOW PULLING BACK


GT IS BUSY TRADING

STOCKS MOVING DOWN ON THE OPEN, EURO MOVING DOWN, GOLD CONSOLIDATING ON ITS NEW HIGH


GOLD SHOULD PULL BACK WITH FALLILNG STOCKS
AND EURO AND A HIGHER DOLLAR

GOLD MOVES HIGHER ON GOOD VOLUME. MAY BE A ONE TIME EVENT


GOLD MAKES SLIGHTLY LOWER LOWS, THEN SPRINGS UP ON GOOD VOLUME $2


OIL PLUNGES BUT NOW RISING
EURO RISES BUT NOW BACKING DOWN
STOCKS STOPPED FALLING BUT NOT TURNING UP MUCH YET
GOLD FALLING BACK FROM ITS LITTLE RALLY

GOLD IS EITHER BUILDING A BOTTOM HERE, OR A LEDGE TO FALL FROM


EURO ON ITS LOWS, DOLLAR HIGHER, STOCKS OFF 30 POINTS

THIS HAS TO DO WITH THE CHINESE REVALUING THE YEN
AND/OR TIGHTENING THEIR RESERVE REQUIREMENT FOR THEIR BANKS
WHICH REDUCES LENDING TO COOL DOWN THEIR ECONOMY
WHICH IS HOT

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


DOLLAR HIGHER

EURO FALLS BACK, GOLD SHOULD FOLLOW


GOLD DROPS BACK AS STOCKS, OIL, EURO TURN DOWN


GOLD SHOULD RETEST THE LOW, MAYBE QUICKLY
DROP A LITTLE LOWER TO PICK UP SOME LIMIT ORDERS
BELOW THE LOW, THEN MOVE BACK UP QUICKLY AND
MAYBE MOVE HIGHER IN STEPS

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


GOLD IS LABORING TO MOVE HIGHER, SHOULD PULL BACK BEFORE MOVING HIGHER

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


GOLD ABOUT TO PULL BACK AS STOCKS, EURO, OIL TURN DOWN


GOLD MAY MOVE HIGHER FROM HERE BUT SHOULD FIRST RETEST THE LOWS

STOCKS, EURO, OIL HAVE TURNED UP A BIT
GOLD UP VOLUME IS VERY LIGHT HERE

GOLD SINKS LOWER ON THE CRIMEX OPEN


GOLD BEAT LOWER ON FAIRLY STRONG VOLUME JUST BEFORE THE OPEN



GOLD MOVING DOWN MORE THAN SHOWN

GOLD DROPS FAST AHEAD OF THE CRIMEX OPEN


A QUICK HIT OF 325 CONTACTS TAKE GOLD DOWN
PROBABLY A MARKET SELL ORDER

TODAY'S REPORTS

CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICES AT 7AM EASTERN
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT 10AM EASTERN
FHFA HOME PRICES AT 10AM EASTERN

GOLD PULLS BACK JUST AHEAD OF THE CRIMEX OPEN


I WOULD THINK GOLD WOULD GET HIT SOME MORE
ON THE OPENING.
READ DAN NORCINI'S COMMENTS AT JSMINESET.COM
ON HIS CHART OF THE DAY

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


5:04AM PST TUESDAY EURO

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


5:03AM PST TUESDAY DOLLAR

THE LARGER PICTURE


A LITTLE PRE-OPEN CRIMEX RALLY, GOLD 'CAPPED' AROUND 1092


STOCKS RISING A BIT

DOLLAR KEEPS SLIPPING LOWER AND NOT TRADING IN LARGER THAN $2 RANGES


5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


4:08AM PST TUESDAY EURO

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


4:05AM PST TUESDAY DOLLAR

AS USUAL, WITHIN SECONDS OF A POST, WHAT I PREDICT...HAPPENS


GOLD DROPPED WITHIN SECONDS OF THE PREVIOUS POST

GOLD IS EITHER BUILDING A BOTTOME HERE, OR A LEDGE TO FALL FROM...I SAY IT'S A LEDGE


DOLLAR HAS CLIMBED
EURO HAS FALLEN
GOLD IS WEAK AND PROBABLY GOING LOWER
SEE DAN NORCINI'S CHART COMMENTS AT JSMINESET.COM

5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 EURO CHART (delayed prices)


EURO FALLS OVERNIGHT

GOLD TRADES ALONG THE LOW


5 MINUTE MARCH 2010 DOLLAR CHART (delayed prices)


2:56AM PST TUESDAY

EVERY RALLY ATTEMPT FAILS...SO FAR


GOLD FALLS STEADILY LOWER SINCE EARLY EVENING


GOLD RETESTS THE LOW