Tuesday, July 28, 2009

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DAN NORCINI COMMENTS ON TODAY'S GOLD TRADING

EXCERPT FROM JSMINESET.COM


The perma gold bears at the Comex, aka, the bullion banks, wasted no time in smashing bids above $958 once again showing their presence at the rigged Comex market. This time however, the sell off in crude oil coupled with a flight away from risk and back into the Yen, led to panicked long liquidation as gold dropped down through the bottom of the trading range that has held for the last few trading sessions. Not only did it drop below $946 - $948, but it fell all the way through critical support at $940. Failure to gain its footing here sets up further downside and a test of the $932- $930 level. Conversely, a push back above $946 and into the trading range zone will allow for further consolidative type trade.

With today’s raid on Gold, the price charts have turned bearish once again short term. The daily chart however shows more of the same constricting pattern that has contained gold since February of this year. The highs are lower but the lows are higher as we move from February towards July. In other words, gold is forming a coiling pattern on the daily charts. Seasonally we normally do not see a lot of strength in gold until late in August so this pattern is nothing to be concerned about as long as gold can maintain its footing above $900. I would be a bit concerned were it to break down at that level as it could conceivably move down towards $880 were that to occur but even that would not particularly bother me since that would correspond with the 100 week moving average on the weekly chart which still shows a very broad sideways pattern going back as far as January 2008.

BONDS TAKE BACK 50% OF THEIR UP MOVE


Yen turns down
Oil chopping on its lows
Euro starting back up from its big sell off
Dollar in its fourth 'stair step' pull back in its big rise today

DOLLAR MOVES DOWN FROM ITS HIGHS


All Indicator markets are moving lower too.
Gold may sell off into the close, then rally some this
afternoon and overnight

DOLLAR CHART AS GOLD TANKS


15 MINUTE CHART FOR PERSPECTIVE
Dollar is moving above previous tops






GOLD RETRACES ALMOST 50% OF THE MAJOR UP MOVE FROM 9076 BASIS DECEMBER GOLD


This could be the big wipe out that seems to occur each
year just before the rally that goes to the end of the year
Try to get a good buy in on the low and hold on

GOLD PLUMMETS ON 2,500 CONTRACTS (August gold)


Euro, Dow, Oil all falling big time
Bonds, Yen move higher
Dollar near its highs for now, may have moved higher

GOLD RETRACES MORE THAN 75%, MAY GO LOWER BEFORE THE BIG RALLY BACK UP


EURO PLUNGING LOWER
DOW FALLING
OIL FALLING
BONDS, YEN MOVING UP
DOLLAR CHOPPING NEAR ITS HIGHS

GOLD MOVES EVEN HIGHER


15 MINUTE CHART FOR PERSPECTIVE
Dollar high stops at previous high



BONDS FALLING, STOCKS RISING, EURO TURNING UP A BIT

DOLLAR STILL STEADY AT .7877 AND CONSOLIDATING
GOLD MAY NOT PULL BACK BUT
MAY CONSOLIDATE HERE A BIT THEN MOVE UP
OIL TURNING UP A BIT

GOLD PLUMMETS ON OVER 7,000 CONTRACTS


ALL INDICATOR MARKETS MOVED LOWER
DOLLAR STILL CONSOLIDATING (delayed prices)
but could have moved higher

GOLD MOVING HIGHER, BUT FIRST A PULL BACK


Indicator markets all reversing.
Bonds, Yen turn down
Euro, Dow, Oil turn up
Dollar consolidating on its highs, could move higher, or
just collapse

GOLD FORMING A LEDGE TO FALL FROM


VOLUME IS LIGHT TO MODERATE AND ERRATIC
FROM MINUTE TO MINUTE